Arlington, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

570
FXUS64 KFWD 191735
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1235 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably hot and humid conditions are forecast into early
  next week with little chance for rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Today Through Friday Afternoon/

Mid-level ridging will spread east and overtake the majority of
the CONUS today and tomorrow, leading to hot and mostly dry
conditions across North and Central Texas through the rest of the
week. Partly sunny skies and persisting southerly winds will
promote warm temperatures today and tomorrow, with afternoon highs
peaking in the 90s and morning lows bottoming out in the 70s.
Persistently humid conditions will keep outside conditions quite
muggy and uncomfortable, as peak heat indices are progged to get
up to the mid 90s to around 103 each afternoon through the end of
the week.

Sea breeze-induced showers and storms are possible through the
end of the week mainly confined to South and Coastal Texas, though
a couple showers or storms may make a run for our far
south/southeastern zones this afternoon and again tomorrow. We`ve
already seen a couple attempts of vertical development to our
south over the last several hours, and this trend will continue
through the rest of this afternoon. Even with the presently
unstable airmass, little environmental shear and a lack of a
focused source of ascent will keep any activity transient and
unsustainable. Have included a low-end 10% chance for an isolated

Prater

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Friday Night Onward/

The aforementioned ridge will be shunted into the eastern CONUS
this weekend in response to the onshore movement of a deepening
PACNW closed low. However, we will remain under the general
influence of the ridge through the rest of the forecast period,
with warm, humid, and mostly dry conditions continuing. The
diurnal inland-moving seabreeze will promote afternoon rain
chances mainly to our south each day, but there will remain low
chances for isolated showers and storms for southern portions of
Central Texas. Warm afternoon highs in the 90s are expected to
continue alongside peak heat index values up to around 102
degrees. Make sure to stay hydrated and cool each afternoon, and
avoid extended time outdoors in heat of the day.

Prater

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/18Z TAFs/

Beautiful flying conditions will prevail at all D10 airports
through the next 24-30 hours as occasionally gusty southerly
winds and partly cloudy skies continue. A deck of MVFR stratus is
expected to move north overnight, impacting ACT just before
daybreak, but should stay south and east of the D10 sites. We`ll
need to keep a watch on any more north/western movement of the
MVFR stratus tonight for any inclusion into later TAFs. Otherwise,
any lowered cigs will gradually scatter and lift over the morning,
becoming VFR before noon.

Prater

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    95  79  95  78  95 /   5   0   0   0   0
Waco                93  76  93  75  93 /   5   5   0   0   0
Paris               91  75  92  75  92 /  10   0   0   0   0
Denton              95  76  95  75  95 /   5   0   0   0   0
McKinney            94  77  95  77  94 /   5   0   0   0   0
Dallas              95  79  96  78  97 /   5   0   0   0   0
Terrell             93  76  93  75  92 /   5   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           93  76  93  76  93 /   5   0   0   0   0
Temple              94  74  94  74  94 /  10   5   5   0   0
Mineral Wells       95  74  96  74  97 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$